Signals
Every macro signal we track, with the latest score and direction.
Product ready signals are maintained for regular monitoring. Research signals are public research still being evaluated and should be used as supporting context.
Public signals
18 results
Consumer Stress
Composite view of retail demand, sentiment, saving buffers, consumer borrowing, delinquency, and debt-service pressure.
Credit Stress
Composite view of financial stress indices, credit spreads, bank credit, household delinquencies, and equity volatility.
Global Rates
Composite view of long-rate term-premium dynamics across the major developed-market sovereigns.
Growth Impulse
Composite view of real activity, production, income, employment, and demand momentum.
Manufacturing Activity
Composite of US manufacturing production, capacity, new orders, and leading-activity indices.
US Growth Surprise
Trend-surprise index focused on activity, output, and demand releases.
US Macro Surprise
Trend-surprise index aggregating major US macro releases; how much recent prints deviate from their own trailing trend.
Housing Cycle
Composite view of starts, permits, supply pressure, completions, house prices, sales activity, and mortgage-rate sensitivity.
Inflation Breadth
Composite measuring how broadly inflation has spread across CPI categories.
Inflation Expectations
Forward-looking composite of market- and survey-based inflation compensation.
Inflation Pressure
Composite view of realized inflation across headline, core, and breadth measures plus producer pressure.
US Inflation Surprise
Trend-surprise index for inflation releases. Positive score = hawkish surprise (releases hotter than recent trend).
Labor Tightness
Composite view of unemployment, claims, participation, labor demand, worker confidence, and cyclical-sector payrolls.
Liquidity Conditions
Composite view of Fed balance-sheet liquidity, money supply, reserves, deposits, and reverse-repo plumbing.
Equity Regime
Composite of broad US equity strength, equity-market volatility, and high-yield credit support.
Policy Restriction
Composite view of policy rates, front-end yields, long rates, mortgage rates, real yields, and yield-curve stress.
Real Curve
Composite view of real yields across the curve plus forward inflation expectations.
Dollar Pressure
Composite view of broad dollar strength, DM and EM FX pairs, and oil shock channels.