Overview
Conditions lean risk off, with more weakening than supportive category readings.
Risk offData through 2026-11-06
Latest update
Since the previous published update
No material public-signal changes are available for the latest update.
Current contributors
View all signalsWhat drives the current view
Global RatesPressuring
Its latest reading pressures the current view. Composite view of long-rate term-premium dynamics across the major developed-market sovereigns.US Growth SurpriseSupportive
Its latest reading supports the current view. Trend-surprise index focused on activity, output, and demand releases.Manufacturing ActivitySupportive
Its latest reading supports the current view. Composite of US manufacturing production, capacity, new orders, and leading-activity indices.Macro map