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Product readyInflation Pressure
Composite view of realized inflation across headline, core, and breadth measures plus producer pressure.
Current reading
How scores workThis moderate negative reading indicates that the inflation signal is deteriorating as of September 1, 2026.
Signal history
See how the normalized reading changed over time.
Strongest drivers
Median CPIDragging-1.00
Atlanta Fed Sticky CPIDragging-1.00
Producer Price IndexDragging-0.31
Dallas Fed Trimmed Mean PCE Inflation (12mo)Dragging-0.13
Consumer Price IndexDragging-0.11
Evidence preview
Full EvidenceWTI Crude 1M Forward81 observations · Sample period not availableAbout 1 month forward · Aligned count not available · 37% hit rate
Early evidence10Y Yield 1M Forward80 observations · Sample period not availableAbout 1 month forward · Aligned count not available · 51% hit rate
Early evidence2Y Yield 1M Forward78 observations · Sample period not availableAbout 1 month forward · Aligned count not available · 42% hit rate
Early evidenceSources
Consumer Price IndexU.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics via FRED
Core CPIU.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics via FRED
PCE Price IndexU.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis via FRED
Core PCE Price IndexU.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis via FRED
Producer Price IndexU.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics via FRED
Median CPIFederal Reserve Bank of Cleveland via FRED
Dallas Fed Trimmed Mean PCE Inflation (12mo)Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas via FRED
Atlanta Fed Sticky CPIFederal Reserve Bank of Atlanta via FRED