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Product readyInflation Expectations
Forward-looking composite of market- and survey-based inflation compensation.
Current reading
How scores workThis weak positive reading indicates that the inflation signal is improving as of November 6, 2026.
Signal history
See how the normalized reading changed over time.
Strongest drivers
5-Year Breakeven Inflation RateSupporting0.42
10-Year Breakeven Inflation RateSupporting0.30
5-Year, 5-Year Forward Inflation ExpectationSupporting0.18
University of Michigan 1-Year Inflation ExpectationsNeutral0.00
Evidence preview
Full Evidence10Y Yield 1M Forward68 observations · Sample period not availableAbout 1 month forward · Aligned count not available · 63% hit rate
Promising alignmentWTI Crude 1M Forward66 observations · Sample period not availableAbout 1 month forward · Aligned count not available · 88% hit rate
Promising alignment2Y Yield 1M Forward66 observations · Sample period not availableAbout 1 month forward · Aligned count not available · 64% hit rate
Promising alignmentSources
5-Year Breakeven Inflation RateFederal Reserve Board via FRED
10-Year Breakeven Inflation RateFederal Reserve Board via FRED
5-Year, 5-Year Forward Inflation ExpectationFederal Reserve Board via FRED
University of Michigan 1-Year Inflation ExpectationsUniversity of Michigan via FRED