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Dollar Pressure

Composite view of broad dollar strength, DM and EM FX pairs, and oil shock channels.

Usd-Fx-CommoditiesDaily
Product ready

Current reading

How scores work
-0.17
Direction
Deteriorating
Strength
Weak
Data date
September 22, 2026

This weak negative reading indicates that the usd-fx-commodities signal is deteriorating as of September 22, 2026.

Signal history

See how the normalized reading changed over time.

223 points

Strongest drivers

WTI Crude Oil PriceDragging-0.66
Brent Crude Oil Price (Europe)Dragging-0.52
Nominal Broad U.S. Dollar IndexNeutral-0.06
USD per EuroNeutral-0.03
Japanese Yen per U.S. DollarNeutral0.02

Evidence preview

Full Evidence
10Y Yield 1M Forward58 observations · Sample period not availableAbout 1 month forward · Aligned count not available · 36% hit rate
Early evidence
WTI Crude 1M Forward57 observations · Sample period not availableAbout 1 month forward · Aligned count not available · 18% hit rate
Early evidence
2Y Yield 1M Forward56 observations · Sample period not availableAbout 1 month forward · Aligned count not available · 36% hit rate
Early evidence

Sources

Nominal Broad U.S. Dollar IndexFederal Reserve Board via FRED
USD per EuroFederal Reserve Board via FRED
Japanese Yen per U.S. DollarFederal Reserve Board via FRED
Chinese Yuan per U.S. DollarFederal Reserve Board via FRED
South Korean Won per U.S. DollarFederal Reserve Board via FRED
Indian Rupee per U.S. DollarFederal Reserve Board via FRED
WTI Crude Oil PriceU.S. Energy Information Administration via FRED
Brent Crude Oil Price (Europe)U.S. Energy Information Administration via FRED
Henry Hub Natural Gas PriceU.S. Energy Information Administration via FRED

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